30YearWeather
Cancún, October 21
Cancún street view during October
Historical Weather Analysis

Cancún Weather on October 21 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

rain

28.3°C

High

24.4°C

Low

49%

Rain

🔥 Feels like 32.9°C (humidity)

rain
IT'S A GAMBLE

October 21 sees frequent showers in Cancún. Historical data shows a 49% chance of rain, so pack accordingly. Temperatures average 28°C. It's a lively time to explore Cancún, with most attractions operating at full capacity.

Currency

MXN

$ Mexican peso

Language

Spanish

Driving

Right side

Connect

High-speed wireless internet (5G) is wid...

Safety

Travel Precautions

GPI: 2.612

Cancún Weather Forecast for October 21

"Warm & Sunny. Expect average highs of 28.3°C. 49% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Cancún in October

Based on historical data for October 21, Cancún typically experiences temperatures between 24.4°C and 28.3°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing, umbrella to stay comfortable. With a 49% chance of rain, keeping a raincoat or umbrella handy is a smart move.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Cancún

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • T-Shirt
  • Light Clothing
  • Umbrella

Average High

extreme-hot

28.3°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

24.4°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

32.9°C

🔥 Feels warmer

Rain Chance

rain

49%

Avg 4.5mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

56%

Light drizzle

Pressure

pressure

1012.9 hPa

Medium volatility

Cancún Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

100%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±1.1°CStable
Precipitation
25-74%Predictable

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 100% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

1.7Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 47 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 71 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 118 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

52Moderate
TemperatureHot
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

24.5°C

Humid/Sticky

Heat Index

32.9°C

Feels hotter

😐 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
29.2°C
🔥 Hot Soup
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
1.26m
🌊 Surfers Only
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

⚠️ Mixed Conditions

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Mexico

Flight Traffic

Busy

66/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~193

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Cancún

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:46

☀️ Noon

12:33

🌇 Sunset

18:20

⏱️ Daylight

11h 33m

Golden Hour
Morning06:46 - 07:16
17:49 - 18:20Evening

Wind Speed

wind

16.6 km/h

Gentle breeze

Sunshine

clear-day

9.4 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

80%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Cancún

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Cancún

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

⛅ Good

61/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

70/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

75/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

70Score
Atmospheric Pressure1012.9 hPa
Volatility:Medium
Migraine RiskMedium

Moderate fluctuations. Some sensitivity possible.

Joint Pain RiskMedium

Mild discomfort possible for arthritic conditions.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
40AQI
Good
PM2.5 Concentration7 µg/m³

Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

Stable

Seismic Activity

Zero seismic activity detected in 30 years.

Total events (30y):0
💡 No earthquake preparedness needed. Enjoy your stay!
Moderate

Atlantic Hurricane Risk

Season: Jun - Nov

"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Cancún on October 21 averages 28.3°C with a 49% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 82/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Cancún Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

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Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2025
31.1°C
Coldest
2022
21.6°C
Rainiest
2017
15.9mm

Better Alternatives Nearby

Consider these dates within ±7 days

💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions

Compare Other Cities

Same date (October 21) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Cancún Worth Visiting on October 21?

Planning a trip to Cancún on October 21? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 28.3°C with a 49% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 193 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for Mexico, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 29.2°C (hot soup). Wave conditions are generally surfers only with heights around 1.26m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 21 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 31.1°C in 2025, while the coldest dropped to 21.6°C in 2022.

Cancún Weather FAQ