30YearWeather
Cape Town, May 15
Cape Town street view during May
Historical Weather Analysis

Cape Town Weather on May 15 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

clear-day

21.6°C

High

11.7°C

Low

8%

Rain

☀️ Feels like 21.9°C

clear-day
YES, IT'S PARADISE
Peak Season

May 15 is statistically one of the best days of the year in Cape Town. With minimal rain risk (8%) and pleasant highs of 22°C, it's ideal for outdoor adventures. As it's peak season for Cape Town, we recommend booking your stay well in advance to secure the best rates.

Currency

ZAR

R South African rand

Language

Afrikaans

+10 more

Driving

Left side

Connect

Many carriers (especially in Europe) cha...

Safety

Moderate Safety

GPI: 2.283

Cape Town Weather Forecast for May 15

"Mild & Comfortable. Expect average highs of 21.6°C. 8% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Cape Town in May

Based on historical data for May 15, Cape Town typically experiences temperatures between 11.7°C and 21.6°C. We recommend packing light jacket, long pants to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (8% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Cape Town

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • Light Jacket
  • Long Pants

Average High

extreme-hot

21.6°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

11.7°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

21.9°C

☀️ Feels accurate

Rain Chance

rain

8%

Avg 0.4mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

47%

Overcast

Pressure

pressure

1018.1 hPa

Medium volatility

Cape Town Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

77%Reliable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±4.0°CModerate
Precipitation
4-20%Predictable

This date historically delivers consistent weather 77% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

0.4Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 200 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 300 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 500 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

81Excellent
TemperatureWarm
HumidityMuggy
WindLight Breeze

Dew Point

17.2°C

Noticeable

Heat Stress

Low

No heat warning

😊 Best outdoor time:
Any time during daylight hours

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
13.5°C
🥶 Polar Plunge
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
2.68m
🌊 Surfers Only
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

❄️ Cold Water Hazard

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in South Africa

Flight Traffic

High

93/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~125

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Cape Town

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

07:32

☀️ Noon

12:44

🌇 Sunset

17:55

⏱️ Daylight

10h 22m

Golden Hour
Morning07:32 - 08:08
17:19 - 17:55Evening

Wind Speed

wind

14.8 km/h

Gentle breeze

Sunshine

clear-day

8.6 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

76%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Cape Town

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Cape Town

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

☀️ Excellent

94/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

85/100

Price Level

💰💰💰 Expensive

85/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

85Score
Atmospheric Pressure1018.1 hPa
Volatility:Medium
Migraine RiskMedium

Moderate fluctuations. Some sensitivity possible.

Joint Pain RiskLow

Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
51AQI
Moderate
PM2.5 Concentration25.5 µg/m³

Air quality is acceptable. Sensitive individuals should limit prolonged outdoor exertion.

Regional Safety Profile

Stable

Seismic Activity

Zero seismic activity detected in 30 years.

Total events (30y):0
💡 No earthquake preparedness needed. Enjoy your stay!
"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Cape Town on May 15 averages 21.6°C with a 8% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 100/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Cape Town Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

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Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2017
30.6°C
Coldest
2022
9.7°C
Rainiest
2021
36.2mm

Compare Other Cities

Same date (May 15) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Cape Town Worth Visiting on May 15?

Planning a trip to Cape Town on May 15? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year is characterized by pleasant mild weather averaging 21.6°C with a 8% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 125 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for South Africa, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 13.5°C (polar plunge). Wave conditions are generally surfers only with heights around 2.68m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest May 15 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 30.6°C in 2017, while the coldest dropped to 9.7°C in 2022.

Cape Town Weather FAQ