30YearWeather
Cozumel, February 21
Cozumel street view during February
Historical Weather Analysis

Cozumel Weather on February 21 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

clear-day

26.7°C

High

23.6°C

Low

9%

Rain

☀️ Feels like 27.8°C (humidity)

clear-day
YES, IT'S PARADISE
Peak Season

February 21 is statistically one of the best days of the year in Cozumel. With minimal rain risk (9%) and pleasant highs of 27°C, it's ideal for outdoor adventures. It's a lively time to explore Cozumel, with most attractions operating at full capacity.

Currency

MXN

$ Mexican peso

Language

Spanish

Driving

Right side

Safety

Travel Precautions

GPI: 2.612

Cozumel Weather Forecast for February 21

"Warm & Sunny. Expect average highs of 26.7°C. 9% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Cozumel in February

Based on historical data for February 21, Cozumel typically experiences temperatures between 23.6°C and 26.7°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (9% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Cozumel

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • T-Shirt
  • Light Clothing

Average High

extreme-hot

26.7°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

23.6°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

27.8°C

☀️ Minor difference

Rain Chance

rain

9%

Avg 0.5mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

35%

Light drizzle

Pressure

pressure

1016.9 hPa

Low volatility

Cozumel Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

99%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±1.5°CStable
Precipitation
5-30%Moderate

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 99% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

2.1Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 38 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 57 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 95 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

59Moderate
TemperatureHot
HumidityMuggy
WindWindy

Dew Point

21.4°C

Humid/Sticky

Heat Stress

Low

No heat warning

😐 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
27.1°C
🛁 Tropical Bath
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
0.65m
🌊 Fun Waves
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

✅ Excellent Swimming Conditions

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Mexico

Flight Traffic

Busy

70/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~7

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Cozumel

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

07:15

☀️ Noon

13:02

🌇 Sunset

18:50

⏱️ Daylight

11h 35m

Golden Hour
Morning07:15 - 07:44
18:20 - 18:50Evening

Wind Speed

wind

25.9 km/h

Moderate wind

Sunshine

clear-day

10.3 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

73%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Cozumel

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Cozumel

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

☀️ Excellent

93/100

Tourist Crowds

🟢 Quiet

35/100

Price Level

💰 Affordable

45/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

100Score
Atmospheric Pressure1016.9 hPa
Volatility:Low
Migraine RiskLow

Stable conditions. Low risk of headaches.

Joint Pain RiskLow

Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
41AQI
Good
PM2.5 Concentration6.8 µg/m³

Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

Low

Seismic Activity

Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.

Total events (30y):1
In Feb (30y):0
💡 Very rare tremors. Standard travel precautions apply.
Moderate

Atlantic Hurricane Risk

Season: Jun - Nov

"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Cozumel on February 21 averages 26.7°C with a 9% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 99/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Cozumel Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

Loading chart...

Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2020
28.6°C
Coldest
2024
20.2°C
Rainiest
2025
12.9mm

Better Alternatives Nearby

Consider these dates within ±7 days

💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions

Compare Other Cities

Same date (February 21) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Cozumel Worth Visiting on February 21?

Planning a trip to Cozumel on February 21? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 26.7°C with a 9% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 7 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for Mexico, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 27.1°C (tropical bath). Wave conditions are generally fun waves with heights around 0.65m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest February 21 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 28.6°C in 2020, while the coldest dropped to 20.2°C in 2024.

Cozumel Weather FAQ