30YearWeather
Cozumel, October 23
Cozumel street view during October
Historical Weather Analysis

Cozumel Weather on October 23 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

rain

28.4°C

High

25.3°C

Low

45%

Rain

🔥 Feels like 32.8°C (humidity)

rain
IT'S A GAMBLE

October 23 sees frequent showers in Cozumel. Historical data shows a 45% chance of rain, so pack accordingly. Temperatures average 28°C. Take advantage of the off-peak calm in Cozumel to see the sights without the usual crowds.

Currency

MXN

$ Mexican peso

Language

Spanish

Driving

Right side

Safety

Travel Precautions

GPI: 2.612

Cozumel Weather Forecast for October 23

"Warm & Sunny. Expect average highs of 28.4°C. 45% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Cozumel in October

Based on historical data for October 23, Cozumel typically experiences temperatures between 25.3°C and 28.4°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing, umbrella to stay comfortable. With a 45% chance of rain, keeping a raincoat or umbrella handy is a smart move.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Cozumel

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • T-Shirt
  • Light Clothing
  • Umbrella

Average High

extreme-hot

28.4°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

25.3°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

32.8°C

🔥 Feels warmer

Rain Chance

rain

45%

Avg 3.9mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

52%

Light drizzle

Pressure

pressure

1012.7 hPa

Medium volatility

Cozumel Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

96%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±0.8°CStable
Precipitation
23-70%Moderate

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 96% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

1.8Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 44 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 66 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 110 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

50Moderate
TemperatureHot
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

24.2°C

Humid/Sticky

Heat Index

32.8°C

Feels hotter

😐 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
29.8°C
🔥 Hot Soup
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
0.55m
🌊 Fun Waves
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

✅ Excellent Swimming Conditions

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Mexico

Flight Traffic

Quiet

30/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~3

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Cozumel

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:46

☀️ Noon

12:33

🌇 Sunset

18:19

⏱️ Daylight

11h 32m

Golden Hour
Morning06:46 - 07:16
17:49 - 18:19Evening

Wind Speed

wind

22.7 km/h

Moderate wind

Sunshine

clear-day

9.9 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

78%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Cozumel

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Cozumel

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

⛅ Good

64/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

70/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

75/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

70Score
Atmospheric Pressure1012.7 hPa
Volatility:Medium
Migraine RiskMedium

Moderate fluctuations. Some sensitivity possible.

Joint Pain RiskMedium

Mild discomfort possible for arthritic conditions.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
41AQI
Good
PM2.5 Concentration6.8 µg/m³

Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

Low

Seismic Activity

Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.

Total events (30y):1
In Oct (30y):0
💡 Very rare tremors. Standard travel precautions apply.
Moderate

Atlantic Hurricane Risk

Season: Jun - Nov

"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Cozumel on October 23 averages 28.4°C with a 45% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 83/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Cozumel Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

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Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2025
30.5°C
Coldest
2022
21.6°C
Rainiest
2019
18.4mm

Better Alternatives Nearby

Consider these dates within ±7 days

💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions

Compare Other Cities

Same date (October 23) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Cozumel Worth Visiting on October 23?

Planning a trip to Cozumel on October 23? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 28.4°C with a 45% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 3 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for Mexico, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 29.8°C (hot soup). Wave conditions are generally fun waves with heights around 0.55m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 23 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 30.5°C in 2025, while the coldest dropped to 21.6°C in 2022.

Cozumel Weather FAQ