30YearWeather
Lagos, October 15
Lagos street view during October
Historical Weather Analysis

Lagos Weather on October 15 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

clear-day

23.3°C

High

16.1°C

Low

13%

Rain

☀️ Feels like 23.9°C (humidity)

clear-day
YES, IT'S PARADISE
Peak Season

October 15 is statistically one of the best days of the year in Lagos. With minimal rain risk (13%) and pleasant highs of 23°C, it's ideal for outdoor adventures. Lagos is currently in its most popular travel window, meaning vibrant crowds and premium pricing.

Currency

EUR

Euro

Language

Portuguese

Driving

Right side

Safety

Very High Safety

GPI: 1.301

Lagos Weather Forecast for October 15

"Mild & Comfortable. Expect average highs of 23.3°C. 13% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Lagos in October

Based on historical data for October 15, Lagos typically experiences temperatures between 16.1°C and 23.3°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (13% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Lagos

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • T-Shirt
  • Light Clothing

Average High

extreme-hot

23.3°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

16.1°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

23.9°C

☀️ Feels accurate

Rain Chance

rain

13%

Avg 0.6mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

46%

Overcast

Pressure

pressure

1016.3 hPa

Medium volatility

Lagos Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

93%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±2.5°CModerate
Precipitation
7-30%Moderate

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 93% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

1.6Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 50 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 75 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 125 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

79Good
TemperatureWarm
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

18.8°C

Noticeable

Heat Stress

Low

No heat warning

🙂 Best outdoor time:
Any time during daylight hours

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
19°C
🥃 Refreshing Tonic
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
1.44m
🌊 Surfers Only
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

⚠️ Mixed Conditions

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Portugal

Flight Traffic

High

88/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

1 vaccine • View Details →

Landing Slots

~123

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Lagos

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:43

☀️ Noon

12:21

🌇 Sunset

18:00

⏱️ Daylight

11h 16m

Golden Hour
Morning06:43 - 07:18
17:24 - 18:00Evening

Wind Speed

wind

18.2 km/h

Gentle breeze

Sunshine

clear-day

9.4 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

76%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Lagos

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Lagos

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

☀️ Excellent

90/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

70/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

75/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

85Score
Atmospheric Pressure1016.3 hPa
Volatility:Medium
Migraine RiskMedium

Moderate fluctuations. Some sensitivity possible.

Joint Pain RiskLow

Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
28AQI
Good
PM2.5 Concentration3.1 µg/m³

Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

Low

Seismic Activity

Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.

Total events (30y):10
In Oct (30y):2
Last in Oct:2014-10-23
💡 Very rare tremors. Standard travel precautions apply.
"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Lagos on October 15 averages 23.3°C with a 13% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 100/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Lagos Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

Loading chart...

Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2021
26.9°C
Coldest
2019
11.5°C
Rainiest
2024
25.3mm

Compare Other Cities

Same date (October 15) in other destinations

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📍 Is Lagos Worth Visiting on October 15?

Planning a trip to Lagos on October 15? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year is characterized by pleasant mild weather averaging 23.3°C with a 13% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 123 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 6 vaccinations are recommended for Portugal, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 19°C (refreshing tonic). Wave conditions are generally surfers only with heights around 1.44m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 15 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 26.9°C in 2021, while the coldest dropped to 11.5°C in 2019.

Lagos Weather FAQ