30YearWeather
Melbourne, October 21
Melbourne street view during October
Historical Weather Analysis

Melbourne Weather on October 21 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

cloudy

19.6°C

High

10.2°C

Low

23%

Rain

🌤️ Feels like 19.6°C

partly-cloudy-day
YES, GOOD CHOICE

October 21 is generally a great time to visit Melbourne. While there is a slight chance of rain (23%), showers are usually brief. Expect comfortable 20°C weather. It's a lively time to explore Melbourne, with most attractions operating at full capacity.

Currency

AUD

$ Australian dollar

Language

English

Driving

Left side

Connect

The main post office in Melbourne's CBD ...

Safety

High Safety

GPI: 1.565

Melbourne Weather Forecast for October 21

"Mild & Comfortable. Expect average highs of 19.6°C. 23% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Melbourne in October

Based on historical data for October 21, Melbourne typically experiences temperatures between 10.2°C and 19.6°C. We recommend packing light jacket, long pants to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (23% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Melbourne

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • Light Jacket
  • Long Pants

Average High

extreme-hot

19.6°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

10.2°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

19.6°C

🌤️ Feels accurate

Rain Chance

rain

23%

Avg 1.4mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

63%

Overcast

Pressure

pressure

1016.7 hPa

Medium volatility

Melbourne Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

91%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±3.5°CModerate
Precipitation
12-35%Predictable

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 91% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

4Moderate
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 30 recommended

Safe Sun Windows
Morning

06:00 - 10:00

Afternoon

16:00 - 19:00

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 20 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 30 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 50 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

84Excellent
TemperatureMild
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

14.2°C

Pleasant

Heat Stress

Low

No heat warning

😊 Best outdoor time:
Any time during daylight hours

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
16.7°C
🥶 Polar Plunge
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
0.65m
🌊 Fun Waves
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

❄️ Cold Water Hazard

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Australia

Flight Traffic

Busy

66/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

1 vaccine • View Details →

Landing Slots

~328

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Melbourne

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:28

☀️ Noon

13:06

🌇 Sunset

19:43

⏱️ Daylight

13h 14m

Golden Hour
Morning06:28 - 07:03
19:08 - 19:43Evening

Wind Speed

wind

20.1 km/h

Moderate wind

Sunshine

clear-day

9.3 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

71%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Melbourne

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Melbourne

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

☀️ Excellent

82/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

70/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

75/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

85Score
Atmospheric Pressure1016.7 hPa
Volatility:Medium
Migraine RiskMedium

Moderate fluctuations. Some sensitivity possible.

Joint Pain RiskLow

Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
36AQI
Good
PM2.5 Concentration10.6 µg/m³

Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

Stable

Seismic Activity

Zero seismic activity detected in 30 years.

Total events (30y):0
💡 No earthquake preparedness needed. Enjoy your stay!
"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Melbourne on October 21 averages 19.6°C with a 23% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 96/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Melbourne Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

Loading chart...

Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2024
24.6°C
Coldest
2018
7°C
Rainiest
2016
12.8mm

Better Alternatives Nearby

Consider these dates within ±7 days

💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions

Compare Other Cities

Same date (October 21) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Melbourne Worth Visiting on October 21?

Planning a trip to Melbourne on October 21? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year is characterized by pleasant mild weather averaging 19.6°C with a 23% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 328 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating peak tourist activity.

💉 Health Advisory: 6 vaccinations are recommended for Australia, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 16.7°C (polar plunge). Wave conditions are generally fun waves with heights around 0.65m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 21 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 24.6°C in 2024, while the coldest dropped to 7°C in 2018.

Melbourne Weather FAQ