30YearWeather
Mexico City, October 4
Mexico City street view during October
Historical Weather Analysis

Mexico City Weather on October 4 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

cloudy

21.1°C

High

11.4°C

Low

37%

Rain

☀️ Feels like 21.3°C

partly-cloudy-day
YES, GOOD CHOICE
Peak Season

October 4 is generally a great time to visit Mexico City. While there is a slight chance of rain (37%), showers are usually brief. Expect comfortable 21°C weather. Expect a bustling atmosphere in Mexico City right now—this is when the city truly comes alive with visitors.

Currency

MXN

$ Mexican peso

Language

Spanish

Driving

Right side

Connect

If someone is calling you the country co...

Safety

Travel Precautions

GPI: 2.612

Mexico City Weather Forecast for October 4

"Mild & Comfortable. Expect average highs of 21.1°C. 37% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Mexico City in October

Based on historical data for October 4, Mexico City typically experiences temperatures between 11.4°C and 21.1°C. We recommend packing light jacket, long pants, umbrella to stay comfortable. With a 37% chance of rain, keeping a raincoat or umbrella handy is a smart move.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Mexico City

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • Light Jacket
  • Long Pants
  • Umbrella

Average High

extreme-hot

21.1°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

11.4°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

21.3°C

☀️ Feels accurate

Rain Chance

rain

37%

Avg 2.1mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

71%

Light drizzle

Pressure

pressure

1016.9 hPa

Low volatility

Mexico City Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

82%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±1.2°CStable
Precipitation
19-80%Unpredictable

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 82% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

1.7Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 47 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 71 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 118 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

80Excellent
TemperatureWarm
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

16.9°C

Noticeable

Heat Stress

Low

No heat warning

😊 Best outdoor time:
Any time during daylight hours

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Mexico

Flight Traffic

High

88/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~398

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Mexico City

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:29

☀️ Noon

12:26

🌇 Sunset

18:23

⏱️ Daylight

11h 54m

Golden Hour
Morning06:29 - 06:58
17:54 - 18:23Evening

Wind Speed

wind

16.4 km/h

Gentle breeze

Sunshine

clear-day

9.4 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

77%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Mexico City

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Mexico City

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

⛅ Good

70/100

Tourist Crowds

🟡 Busy

70/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

75/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

100Score
Atmospheric Pressure1016.9 hPa
Volatility:Low
Migraine RiskLow

Stable conditions. Low risk of headaches.

Joint Pain RiskLow

Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
111AQI
Unhealthy for Sensitive
PM2.5 Concentration42.6 µg/m³

Unhealthy for sensitive groups. Consider wearing a mask outdoors.

Regional Safety Profile

Low

Seismic Activity

Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.

Total events (30y):13
In Oct (30y):0
💡 Very rare tremors. Standard travel precautions apply.
Medium

Volcanic Activity

Nearest: Popocatépetl

70km away

"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Mexico City on October 4 averages 21.1°C with a 37% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 89/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Mexico City Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

Loading chart...

Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2023
24.9°C
Coldest
2020
9.5°C
Rainiest
2024
10.7mm

Better Alternatives Nearby

Consider these dates within ±7 days

💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions

Compare Other Cities

Same date (October 4) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Mexico City Worth Visiting on October 4?

Planning a trip to Mexico City on October 4? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year is characterized by pleasant mild weather averaging 21.1°C with a 37% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 398 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for Mexico, including COVID-19.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 4 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 24.9°C in 2023, while the coldest dropped to 9.5°C in 2020.

Mexico City Weather FAQ