Historical data suggests significant rain risk (72%) on October 15. If you seek sun, consider a different date. Bring rain gear! It's a quieter period for Montego Bay, ideal for those who prefer unhurried sightseeing.
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Essential Travel Info for Montego Bay
Currency
JMD
$ Jamaican dollar
Language
English
+1 more
Driving
Left side
Safety
High Safety
GPI: 1.99
Montego Bay Weather Forecast for October 15
"Rainy & Overcast. Expect average highs of 29.7°C. 72% chance of rain."
What to Wear in Montego Bay in October
Based on historical data for October 15, Montego Bay typically experiences temperatures between 24.1°C and 29.7°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing, umbrella to stay comfortable. With a 72% chance of rain, keeping a raincoat or umbrella handy is a smart move.
Complete Packing Guide
Weekly breakdown & essential items for Montego Bay
Smart Suitcase
- T-Shirt
- Light Clothing
- Umbrella
Average High
29.7°C
Daytime Peak
Average Low
24.1°C
Nighttime Low
Feels Like
38.4°C
🔥 Heat index effect
Rain Chance
72%
Avg 5mm if it rains
Cloud Cover
67%
Moderate rain
Pressure
1011.8 hPa
Low volatility
Montego Bay Weather Conditions & UV Index
Weather Confidence
30-year variance analysis
Based on 10 years of data
🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 94% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.
Sun Exposure
UV Index & Safety Guide
Protection Needed
SPF 15 for extended outdoor time
Type I-II
🔴 53 min to burn
Type III-IV
🟡 80 min to burn
Type V-VI
🟢 133 min to burn
UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.
Outdoor Comfort
How pleasant is it outside?
Dew Point
27.1°C
Humid/Sticky
Heat Index
38.4°C
Feels hotter
😕 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)
Marine Conditions
Marine Life
No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!
Swim Index
✅ Excellent Swimming Conditions
Travel & Logistics Insights
Local Calendar
Business Day
Standard hours in Jamaica
Flight Traffic
Quiet
28/100 pressure index
Health Advisory
Required
1 vaccine • View Details →
Landing Slots
~15
Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)
Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Montego Bay
Daylight & Sun
Solar Elevation Cycle
🌅 Sunrise
06:06
☀️ Noon
11:58
🌇 Sunset
17:50
⏱️ Daylight
11h 44m
Wind Speed
12.3 km/h
Gentle breeze
Sunshine
9.9 hrs
Direct Sun (Cloud-free)
Humidity
86%
Humid / Damp
Travel Intelligence
Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Montego Bay
Smart Flight Estimator
Airport-to-Airport Logistics
unlock smart flight estimates
Add your home location in settings to see airport details.
Travel Health & Safety in Montego Bay
Travel Comfort Index
Real-time tourism conditions
Weather Quality
🌧️ Variable
Tourist Crowds
🟡 Busy
Price Level
💰💰 Moderate
Health & Wellbeing
Meteo-Health Forecast
Stable conditions. Low risk of headaches.
Mild discomfort possible for arthritic conditions.
Moderate fish activity expected.
Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.
Regional Safety Profile
Seismic Activity
Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.
Atlantic Hurricane Risk
Season: Jun - Nov
"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Montego Bay on October 15 averages 29.7°C with a 72% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 58/100."
— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology
Montego Bay Weather History (2010–2024)
Temperature History
Hall of Fame
Records from last 10 years
Better Alternatives Nearby
Consider these dates within ±7 days
October 22
29.4°C • 59% rain
Score
71
October 21
29.5°C • 59% rain
Score
70
October 10
30°C • 64% rain
Score
65
💡 Moving your event by a few days could significantly improve weather conditions
Compare Other Cities
Same date (October 15) in other destinations
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London
United Kingdom
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Netherlands
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Czech Republic
🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world
📍 Is Montego Bay Worth Visiting on October 15?
Planning a trip to Montego Bay on October 15? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 29.7°C with a 72% historical precipitation risk.
✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 15 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.
💉 Health Advisory: 7 vaccinations are recommended for Jamaica, including COVID-19.
🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 30.9°C (hot soup). Wave conditions are generally lake-like with heights around 0.25m.
📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest October 15 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 30.7°C in 2023, while the coldest dropped to 23°C in 2018.