March 16 is generally a great time to visit Tulum. While there is a slight chance of rain (15%), showers are usually brief. Expect comfortable 28°C weather. Tulum is currently in its most popular travel window, meaning vibrant crowds and premium pricing.
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Essential Travel Info for Tulum
Currency
MXN
$ Mexican peso
Language
Spanish
Driving
Right side
Safety
Travel Precautions
GPI: 2.612
Tulum Weather Forecast for March 16
"Warm & Sunny. Expect average highs of 28.1°C. 15% chance of rain."
What to Wear in Tulum in March
Based on historical data for March 16, Tulum typically experiences temperatures between 23.3°C and 28.1°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (15% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.
Complete Packing Guide
Weekly breakdown & essential items for Tulum
Smart Suitcase
- T-Shirt
- Light Clothing
Average High
28.1°C
Daytime Peak
Average Low
23.3°C
Nighttime Low
Feels Like
31.4°C
🔥 Feels warmer
Rain Chance
15%
Avg 0.6mm if it rains
Cloud Cover
37%
Light drizzle
Pressure
1015 hPa
Low volatility
Tulum Weather Conditions & UV Index
Weather Confidence
30-year variance analysis
Based on 10 years of data
🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 80% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.
Sun Exposure
UV Index & Safety Guide
Protection Needed
SPF 30 recommended
06:00 - 10:00
16:00 - 19:00
Type I-II
🔴 19 min to burn
Type III-IV
🟡 29 min to burn
Type V-VI
🟢 48 min to burn
UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.
Outdoor Comfort
How pleasant is it outside?
Dew Point
23°C
Humid/Sticky
Heat Index
31.4°C
Feels hotter
😐 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)
Marine Conditions
Marine Life
No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!
Swim Index
⚠️ Mixed Conditions
Travel & Logistics Insights
Local Calendar
Business Day
Standard hours in Mexico
Flight Traffic
High
100/100 pressure index
Health Advisory
Required
2 vaccines • View Details →
Landing Slots
~283
Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)
Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Tulum
Daylight & Sun
Solar Elevation Cycle
🌅 Sunrise
06:58
☀️ Noon
12:59
🌇 Sunset
19:00
⏱️ Daylight
12h 2m
Wind Speed
20.2 km/h
Moderate wind
Sunshine
11.0 hrs
Direct Sun (Cloud-free)
Humidity
74%
Humid / Damp
Travel Intelligence
Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Tulum
Smart Flight Estimator
Airport-to-Airport Logistics
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Travel Health & Safety in Tulum
Travel Comfort Index
Real-time tourism conditions
Weather Quality
☀️ Excellent
Tourist Crowds
🟢 Moderate
Price Level
💰💰 Moderate
Health & Wellbeing
Meteo-Health Forecast
Stable conditions. Low risk of headaches.
Weather unlikely to affect joint pain.
Moderate fish activity expected.
Air quality is excellent. Perfect for outdoor activities.
Regional Safety Profile
Seismic Activity
Rare minor tremors. Buildings are earthquake-resistant.
Atlantic Hurricane Risk
Season: Jun - Nov
"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Tulum on March 16 averages 28.1°C with a 15% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 100/100."
— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology
Tulum Weather History (2010–2024)
Temperature History
Hall of Fame
Records from last 10 years
Compare Other Cities
Same date (March 16) in other destinations
🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world
📍 Is Tulum Worth Visiting on March 16?
Planning a trip to Tulum on March 16? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 28.1°C with a 15% historical precipitation risk.
✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 283 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.
💉 Health Advisory: 9 vaccinations are recommended for Mexico, including COVID-19.
🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 27.4°C (tropical bath). Wave conditions are generally surfers only with heights around 1.35m.
📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest March 16 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 30.9°C in 2025, while the coldest dropped to 20.5°C in 2017.