30YearWeather
Manila, January 4
Manila street view during January
Historical Weather Analysis

Manila Weather on January 4 — Best Time to Visit?

Based on 30 years of historical data, we have the answer.

clear-day

28.8°C

High

22.9°C

Low

12%

Rain

🔥 Feels like 33.8°C (humidity)

clear-day
YES, IT'S PARADISE
Peak Season

January 4 is statistically one of the best days of the year in Manila. With minimal rain risk (12%) and pleasant highs of 29°C, it's ideal for outdoor adventures. As it's peak season for Manila, we recommend booking your stay well in advance to secure the best rates.

Currency

PHP

Philippine peso

Language

English

+1 more

Driving

Right side

Connect

Payphones are very common in the city ce...

Safety

Moderate Safety

GPI: 2.339

Manila Weather Forecast for January 4

"Warm & Sunny. Expect average highs of 28.8°C. 12% chance of rain."

What to Wear in Manila in January

Based on historical data for January 4, Manila typically experiences temperatures between 22.9°C and 28.8°C. We recommend packing t-shirt, light clothing to stay comfortable. Trends suggest it will stay mostly dry (12% rain probability), but checking the forecast before heading out is always wise.

Complete Packing Guide

Weekly breakdown & essential items for Manila

View Guide

Smart Suitcase

  • T-Shirt
  • Light Clothing

Average High

extreme-hot

28.8°C

Daytime Peak

Average Low

extreme-cold

22.9°C

Nighttime Low

Feels Like

partly-cloudy-day

33.8°C

🔥 Feels warmer

Rain Chance

rain

12%

Avg 0.3mm if it rains

Cloud Cover

cloudy

54%

Overcast

Pressure

pressure

1012.8 hPa

Low volatility

Manila Weather Conditions & UV Index

Weather Confidence

30-year variance analysis

86%Highly Predictable

Based on 10 years of data

Temperature
±1.0°CStable
Precipitation
6-50%Unpredictable

🎯 This date historically delivers consistent weather 86% of the time. Safe to plan outdoor activities with confidence.

Sun Exposure

UV Index & Safety Guide

0.5Low
036811+

Protection Needed

SPF 15 for extended outdoor time

Time to Sunburn

Type I-II

🔴 160 min to burn

Type III-IV

🟡 240 min to burn

Type V-VI

🟢 400 min to burn

UV estimate based on latitude, season & cloud cover. Actual UV may vary.

Outdoor Comfort

How pleasant is it outside?

51Moderate
TemperatureHot
HumidityMuggy
WindBreezy

Dew Point

24.6°C

Humid/Sticky

Heat Index

33.8°C

Feels hotter

😐 Best outdoor time:
Morning hours (before 11 AM)

Marine Conditions

Water Temp
28.3°C
🛁 Tropical Bath
Avg daily surface temperature
Surf Conditions
0.13m
🌊 Lake-like
Max daily wave height
Advisories

Marine Life

No special warnings. Enjoy the swim!

Swim Index

✅ Excellent Swimming Conditions

Travel & Logistics Insights

Local Calendar

Business Day

Standard hours in Philippines

Flight Traffic

High

99/100 pressure index

Health Advisory

Required

2 vaccines • View Details →

Landing Slots

~427

Daily arrival options (inc. codeshare)

Sunrise, Sunset & Wind in Manila

Daylight & Sun

Solar Elevation Cycle

🌅 Sunrise

06:23

☀️ Noon

12:01

🌇 Sunset

17:40

⏱️ Daylight

11h 17m

Golden Hour
Morning06:23 - 06:54
17:09 - 17:40Evening

Wind Speed

wind

19.1 km/h

Gentle breeze

Sunshine

clear-day

9.7 hrs

Direct Sun (Cloud-free)

Humidity

humidity

78%

Humid / Damp

Travel Intelligence

Exclusive flight analytics & health data for Manila

Smart Flight Estimator

Airport-to-Airport Logistics

unlock smart flight estimates

Add your home location in settings to see airport details.

Travel Health & Safety in Manila

Travel Comfort Index

Real-time tourism conditions

Weather Quality

☀️ Excellent

90/100

Tourist Crowds

🟢 Moderate

40/100

Price Level

💰💰 Moderate

50/100

Health & Wellbeing

Meteo-Health Forecast

85Score
Atmospheric Pressure1012.8 hPa
Volatility:Low
Migraine RiskLow

Stable conditions. Low risk of headaches.

Joint Pain RiskMedium

Mild discomfort possible for arthritic conditions.

Fishing IndexFair

Moderate fish activity expected.

Air Quality Forecast
155AQI
Unhealthy
PM2.5 Concentration60.3 µg/m³

Unhealthy. Everyone should reduce outdoor activities.

Regional Safety Profile

High

Seismic Activity

Active seismic zone. Multiple earthquakes per year.

Total events (30y):472
In Jan (30y):94
Last in Jan:2025-01-20
💡 Earthquake risk elevated. Download a seismic alert app.
Very High

Typhoon Risk

Year-round risk present

Medium

Volcanic Activity

Nearest: Taal Volcano

66.4km away

Travel Alert: This region has elevated natural risks. We recommend registering with your embassy and keeping emergency numbers handy.

"According to 30YearWeather's analysis of 30 years of NASA satellite data, Manila on January 4 averages 28.8°C with a 12% precipitation probability. Wedding/Outdoor Event Score: 100/100."

— Source: 30YearWeather.com|Data: NASA POWER (1991-2021)|View Methodology

Manila Weather History (2010–2024)

Temperature History

Loading chart...

Hall of Fame

Records from last 10 years

Hottest
2024
31.6°C
Coldest
2020
22.3°C
Rainiest
2023
5.1mm

Compare Other Cities

Same date (January 4) in other destinations

🌍 Explore the same date in different destinations around the world

📍 Is Manila Worth Visiting on January 4?

Planning a trip to Manila on January 4? Our historical weather analysis based on 30 years of NASA satellite data shows that this time of year typically offers vibrant summer conditions averaging 28.8°C with a 12% historical precipitation risk.

✈️ Travel Logistics: Approximately 427 landing slots available daily during this period, indicating manageable crowd levels.

💉 Health Advisory: 11 vaccinations are recommended for Philippines, including COVID-19.

🌊 Coastal Conditions: Water temperature averages 28.3°C (tropical bath). Wave conditions are generally lake-like with heights around 0.13m.

📊 Historical Extremes: The hottest January 4 recorded in the last 30 years saw temperatures hit 31.6°C in 2024, while the coldest dropped to 22.3°C in 2020.

Manila Weather FAQ